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Stop Shipping ML Models With Bare Floats: A Deep Dive Into Statistically Rigorous Model Evaluation

Stop Shipping ML Models With Bare Floats Every week, somewhere, a team makes a deployment decision that looks like this: Model A: AUROC = 0.847 Model …

pythondatasciencestatisticsmachinelearning
Dev.to Jun 15, 2026, 19:44 UTC
EN

A Scatter-Plot Explorer for World Statistics — Log Scales and Hand-Rolled Pearson Correlation

"Do countries with higher GDP per capita also have longer life expectancy?" I built a tool that lets you explore questions like that across 48 countri…

javascriptdatavizstatisticsfrontend
Dev.to Jun 13, 2026, 23:03 UTC
EN

We put confidence intervals on our LLM-judge scores. The error bars ate three weeks of "trend"

We track weekly agreement between an LLM judge and human labels (Cohen's kappa) on a sample of production traces. For three weeks the point estimates …

datasciencestatisticsmachinelearningai
Dev.to Jun 11, 2026, 19:16 UTC
EN

Review: A Symbolic Representation of Time Series, with Implications for Streaming Algorithms

In [1], the authors present a method for constructing a symbolic (nominal) representation for real-valued time series data. A symbolic representation …

statisticstimeseriescomputationsymbolic
Dev.to Jun 7, 2026, 03:38 UTC
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Graduate Statistics Problem Sets

I put my coursework from SIUe's Master's in Mathematics program up on the problem sets section of this site. Five courses from 2021-2022 that formed t…

statisticsrsiuecoursework
Dev.to Jun 7, 2026, 03:36 UTC
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Model Selection for Weibull Series Systems: When Simpler Models Suffice

When can you safely use a simpler model for a series system? I ran extensive simulation studies with likelihood ratio tests to get a quantitative answ…

statisticsreliabilityweibulldistributionmodelselection
Dev.to Jun 7, 2026, 03:36 UTC
EN

why Cohen's kappa drifts week to week (and what to do about it)

If your LLM-as-judge calibration kappa moves around week to week and you cannot explain it from labeller behavior, the usual cause is the marginal dis…

aievaluationmachinelearningstatistics
Dev.to Jun 2, 2026, 19:25 UTC
EN

I Built CausalLens — A Free, Open-Source Causal Impact Calculator for Time Series (5 Methods, Zero Setup)

I want to show you a tool I just open-sourced. It's called CausalLens, and it answers one specific question that most analytics stacks get completely …

pythonopensourcedatasciencestatistics
Dev.to May 30, 2026, 16:20 UTC
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Cointegration and Pairs Trading: When Time Series Move Together

Pairs trading rests on a simple idea: find two assets that move together, wait for them to diverge, and bet on convergence. The hard part is defining …

timeseriesquantfinancestatistics
Dev.to May 24, 2026, 10:32 UTC
EN

We built a mahjong dangerous-tile predictor calibrated on 4.97M real hands

The problem At a real mahjong table, software can't help you mid-hand. The question — "is this tile safe to discard?" — comes up every few turns, and …

iosmahjongstatisticsswift
Dev.to May 22, 2026, 23:04 UTC
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Understanding Correlation in PHP: Pearson vs Spearman vs Kendall Tau

Correlation helps you understand whether two variables move together and how strongly they are related. In this article, you'll learn how Pearson, Spe…

phpstatisticsopensourcetutorial
Dev.to May 19, 2026, 20:39 UTC
EN

The AI audit rep-curve: why 1 run gives you 67 percent reliability

For most of 2025, the standard AI-search audit I saw from peer agencies looked the same: run a list of prompts once each, screenshot the outputs, code…

aisearchauditmethodologystatisticsgeo
Dev.to May 12, 2026, 02:41 UTC
EN

Lending's Old Faithful: How a 1958 Breakthrough Still Holds Off the AI Rush

Series: Building an Explainable AI Underwriter This is Part 2 . ↜ Part 1: Why Explainable AI Matters in Underwriting ↝ Part 3: Human Intervention Thre…

datasciencemachinelearningstatistics
Dev.to May 9, 2026, 21:01 UTC

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